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Fantasy Football ADP Report Observations: Finding Value Plays

Fantasy expert Scott Engel helps you find value in your fantasy draft.

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Scott Engel is beginning his 11th season as the official Fantasy Football writer and analyst for He is an inaugural member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Scott is a four-time FSWA award winner and a 10-time nominee, including being a finalist for the 2020 FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year Award, which he won previously. Scott was the No. 1 most accurate fantasy football draft ranker at tight end and No. 6 at running back on in 2021. You can find more of his fantasy football analysis, including 2022 player rankings, at The Game Day this season.

As part of the fantasy football draft preparation process, fantasy leaguers frequently consult Average Draft Position reports. The data gives you a good feel for where players might be drafted. The ADP reports are a good general feature to help you know when to expect certain players to be taken. But they should not be adhered to rigidly, as every draft is different and none flow exactly as ADPs would indicate. The ADPs should be considered as an overview, not a strict guide. You should also have a good idea of how to personally evaluate players after doing preseason research.

Once you have mostly determined your player targets for draft day, you will notice that values and discounts can be identified throughout the draft process. We have pinpointed some of our favorite value plays based on the most recent ADP reports from FantasyPros in points per reception leagues.

Fantasy Football ADP Values To Target

Ja'Marr Chase , WR, Cincinnati (ADP of No. 9 overall, WR3): Chase had a magnificent rookie season, finishing fifth in PPR points (304.6) and points per game (17.9). He had 1,455 receiving yards and 13 TDs, and there is a very good chance he will provide similar statistics this season after putting his first NFL campaign in the books. If you are hesitant about drafting a running back in the top 5 selections, Chase is a strong alternative.

Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans (15 overall, RB9): Jameis Winston will get an opportunity to pilot the Saints offense over a full season, and after absorbing much info from Drew Brees and Sean Payton over the past two years, he will know to lean heavily on his superstar RB. Kamara remains one of the top all-around running backs in fantasy football and should still be viewed as a potential top 5 option at the position.

A.J. Brown, WR, Philadelphia (28, WR11): Brown now becomes the top wideout in what should be an improved Eagles passing game. He is a versatile playmaker, able to make tough catches while also being a threat to bust loose for a big gainer at any time. Brown has averaged 16.2 yards per catch in his three-year career so far and should soar past his previous career high of 70 receptions. Look for Brown to be busier than ever before, and he could challenge to be a top 5 fantasy wide receiver in 2022.

Travis Etienne, RB, Jacksonville (42, RB19): Many fantasy analysts, including myself, are recommending taking Etienne above his current Average Draft Position. I have Etienne ranked 13that running back, as he is a potentially dynamic dual threat as a runner and pass-catcher. In his first true NFL season, Etienne should be a featured playmaker for the Jaguars as they look to improve on offense and he works with his former Clemson teammate, Trevor Lawrence, in the backfield.

Courtland Sutton, WR, Denver (57, WR22): Sutton should come through with a career year in 2022. He already has an 1,100-yard plus campaign to his credit and the Denver passing game will be improved this season. Sutton presents a significant challenge for defenses with his combination of size and downfield playmaking abilities. He has a fantasy WR1 ceiling for this season.

Allen Robinson, WR, Los Angeles Rams (67, WR27): Robinson is being selected earlier than his current ADP in some drafts, and I have him ranked as a top 15 fantasy wide receiver. Working with Matthew Stafford could propel Robinson to his best season since 2015, when he had 1,400 receiving yards.

Gabriel Davis, WR, Buffalo (71, WR30): Davis caught four TD passes in a playoff game last season. That was a loud alert that he is headed for a breakthrough campaign in 2022 as a featured playmaker in one of the NFL's best passing games.

Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia (72, TE8): As Jalen Hurts likely takes a step forward as a passer, Goedert will be a strong candidate to come through with his best fantasy season yet. If you do not draft one of the top 5 tight ends, Goedert should be a top option as one of the next available TE targets. Goedert finished eighth at TE in total points (165.0) and points per game (11.0) last year at TE and should surpass those totals in 2022.

Rashaad Penny, RB, Seahawks (88, RB33): As we significantly noted in our Fantasy Insider 2022 running back primer, Penny was a league-winning fantasy force during the most important part of the schedule last year. From Weeks 14 to 17, which covers the final week of the fantasy regular season, Penny led all running backs in fantasy points with 85.2 and he averaged an outstanding 21.3 points during that span. Penny has developed into a true offensive weapon for the Seahawks, as he emerged as an improved power runner last season while also featuring his trademark burst and speed. Penny has the upside to boost your fantasy team to a victory in any given week. He will at least be a top-notch flex option, and Penny can frequently be a RB2 upside play.

Tyler Lockett, WR, Seahawks (89, WR37): Lockett is a good value pick right now in most drafts. He is a proven fantasy producer who deserves frequent fantasy WR3 consideration. Lockett will continue to play a very important role in the Seahawks offense and he can outperform his ADP in several games this season. Lockett has familiarity working with Geno Smith.

Chase Edmonds (93, RB34):Edmonds is featured among the running backs in our list of the Top 12 Fantasy Football Sleepers for 2022. He is a versatile threat as both a runner and receiver and should be a lead running back for the first time in his career this season.

Trey Lance (98, QB13): Lance has obviously tremendous appeal as a runner for fantasy purposes, but he also has a very strong supporting cast of pass-catchers. Lance has the promise to finish as a top 5 fantasy quarterback in his first full season as an NFL starter. If you back him up with a good QB2 option such as Kirk Cousins or Jameis Winston, then the Lance pick becomes even more comfortable.

More Fantasy Football ADP Insights

-Christian McCaffrey is now being taken second overall. It's a selection that could pay off nicely, as we have seen in past seasons, yet you can also strongly consider Austin Ekeler, our No. 2 ranked RB, along with Justin Jefferson, Chase and Cooper Kupp as top choices in the first half of the first round.

-Derrick Henry's overall ADP is fifth overall, but you may be able to land him in the second half of the first round in some drafts.

-De'Andre Swift has an overall ADP of No. 14, but you will see him being taken in the first round at times. He is considered to be an upside play who may challenge to be a top 5 fantasy RB in 2022.

-Josh Allen is the 23rd overall player off draft boards. He is certainly worthy of being taken as the top QB in every draft, and you will have to reach early at QB for Allen if he is a desired target. But being patient at QB is often a recommended approach, as Tom Brady's ADP is 77th overall, and we indicated the strong potential value on Lance.

-Saquon Barkley's consensus overall ADP across several fantasy platforms is 24th, but he is being selected as soon as the back half of the first round in some drafts. Reports on Barkley have been very positive this preseason and those who are targeting him in drafts may have to consider taking him as a top 10 RB.

-Michael Pittman Jr. has shot up draft boards to the point where he has an ADP of No. 13 WR. Pittman is a popular choice to have a big breakout year as the No. 1 target for Matt Ryan.

Scott Engel's 2022 Fantasy Football rankings are now available at The Game Day. Check out his full Top 330 overall and in-depth positional analysis.

The Seahawks practiced at Renton's Virginia Mason Athletic Center on August 31, 2022. Seahawks practice photos are presented by Gatorade.

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