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Tuesday Round-Up: Calculate NFL Playoff Chances With NY Times' Playoff Simulator

Use the New York Times’ Upshot playoff simulator to calculate playoff chances of the Seahawks and other teams.

round up nov 29

Good afternoon, 12s. Here's a look at what's out there today — Tuesday, November 29 — about your Seattle Seahawks.

New York Times Playoff Simulator Lets Fans Test Out Playoff Scenarios

The 6-5 Seahawks fell in a 40-34 defeat to the Raiders on Sunday. Josh Katz, Kevin Quealy and Rumsey Taylor break down how the New York Times' Upshot playoff simulator gives fans a hands-on look at playoff chances as we get closer to the postseason.

The Upshot is the analytical sector of the New York Times, using data to form opinions or truths on a large variety of matters. In this case, the Upshot simulator provides fans hundreds of millions of probabilities of potential playoff seeding per team for every week.

The trio breaks down how the simulator works in this regard for the Seahawks, who fell out of first place and, for the time being at least, a playoff position with Sunday's loss.

The Seattle Seahawks (6-5) lost to the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs to 53 percent from 63 percent. With 92 games remaining, there are about 5 octillion different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end. How many of those put the Seahawks in the playoffs? Far too many to check by hand.

So we built this simulator. Most calculatorsforce you to choose the winners of each remaining game. Here, you can choose the outcomes of just a few games and see how your team's chances grow or shrink. (For more information about this simulator, check outour newly updated guide.

We estimate odds by randomly simulating the remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often the Seahawks make the playoffs.

If you don't specify an outcome for a particular game, we use Sagarin ratings to estimate each team's chances of winning. (For simplicity, we assume each game has an equally small chance of ending in a tie.)

Per the simulator, the Seahawks fate remains in their own hands, with winning being the best determining factor for Seattle.

Not only are fans provided probability to see a team's chances to make the playoffs, but the simulator shows the ability (or inability) to either host a wild card bid or earn a bye week. Fans can tinker with the simulator every week leading up to the postseason to see how each outcome changes the team's fate.

Seattle heads back on the road for Week 13 to face the 3-8 Los Angeles Rams. As the team looks to fix the issues from Sunday's loss, the last thing they are doing is getting too far ahead of themselves, but that doesn't mean fans can't have fun trying out different scenarios.

Check out the playoff simulator here.

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More from Around The Web

Larry Stone of the Seattle Times: Who are the real Seahawks? We're about to find out.

Corbin Smith of Sports Illustrated: 3 Seahawks Lead NFC Pro Bowl Voting.

Go behind the scenes with team photographer Rod Mar as he shares moments from Week 12 vs. the Las Vegas Raiders on November 27, 2022 at Lumen Field. Eye On The Hawks is presented by Western Washington Toyota Dealers.

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